National League Season Preview
Necessary Roughness
by Aaron Isaac Feldstein

Unless you’re watching a replay on ESPN Classic or highlights from the day before, it is very rare that when watching a baseball game, the sun comes up behind you.
For me, it was two days in a row I woke up early and donned the green and yellow hoodie.
For a while now, the National League has been playing second fiddle to the AL.
The All Star game has been dominated by the American League. If you don’t count the debacle of the 2002 All Star game that ended in a tie, the AL has won 10 straight All Star games and 16 of the last 19 dating back to 1988. But that doesn’t always result in World Series wins.
In the last seven World Series’, the Senior Circuit has won three of them. And it made the moves that could easily bring them their fourth.
NL East
There were two dominant stories in the National League last season -- the Colorado Rockies amazing run to the World Series, and the collapse of the New York Mets.
As the 2008 season begins, the Philadelphia Phillies have all the bragging rights. They were the beneficiaries of the Mets’ collapse and are the current NL East Champions. Their players won back-to-back National League MVP honors (Ryan Howard, Jimmy Rollins), and they have two of the better younger pitchers in the NL (Cole Hamels, Kyle Kendrick).

But what they don’t have is Johan Santana.
Santana has been the best pitcher in baseball over the past five years. The Venezuelan is coming off the worst of those five years, but he still won 15 games and had an ERA of 3.33. It is the first time in four years his ERA has been over three. Since 2003, Santana has a record of 82-35. That’s a winning percentage of .700. The two-time Cy Young award winner will also benefit by jumping leagues where many of the hitters haven’t seen his circle change that much.
Plus, Santana is going to have quite a bit of run support. A lineup that rivals the Yankees and Tigers as one of the best in baseball is led by the firecracker shortstop Jose Reyes. Although many don’t even think he is the best shortstop in his division, he changes the aspect of the game when he is on base and makes the pitcher worry whether or not he is going to stay at first. Last season, Reyes had 78 stolen bases in 99 attempts. That kind of ability to turn a single into a double can make a pitcher change his game. Having a hitter like that get on base in front of David Wright and Carlos Beltran can only mean one thing: Run support for Mets pitchers.
The Phillies made a couple of less hyped acquisitions, adding veteran outfielder Geoff Jenkins and third baseman Pedro Feliz to go along with the big bats of Howard, Rollins, Chase Utley and Pat Burrell. But the back of the rotation isn’t as strong as the Mets, and that will be the Phillies downfall throughout the year.
In the NL East, it is hard not to mention the Braves. After all, they did win 14 straight NL East titles. However, the last two years they’ve finished as the bronze medalist of the East, and despite the addition of Mark Kotsay and the return of Tom Glavine, the Braves will put up a fight but won’t have enough in the tank to finish out the season.
That’s why I agree with Beltran, who teased the Phillies by saying, “So this year, Jimmy Rollins – we are the team to beat.”
NL Central
It was a century ago. There were only seven teams in the National League; the average team ERA was under three and the Chicago Cubs were world champions for the second straight year.
It was also the last time they held that coveted title.
But this team continues to make the big money moves that always have the fans saying, “Hey, this could be the year.”
This past off-season, GM Jim Hendry went out and got the most sought after foreign hitter on the market, importing right fielder Kosuke Fukudome from the Chunichi Dragons. The two-time Central League batting champion brings a career batting average of .305 to an already potent lineup that consists of Alfonso Soriano, Derek Lee and Aramis Ramirez. For the last four years, Fukudome has had 20-plus home run seasons, including 34 in 2003. Although he is coming off a right elbow injury, the four-time Gold Glover should make an immediate impact at the plate, in the field and on the morale of Chicago fans.

Kerry Wood looks to take over the closer role, but the bullpen and starting rotation continues to be a question for the Cubs. Carlos Zambrano and Ted Lilly are a wonderful 1-2 punch, but the rest of the staff will have to step it up if they don’t want to get swept again in the first round of the playoffs.
But lucky for the Cubs, no one in the division made that big move to consider them a favorite over the defending champions. The Cardinals, except for Albert Pujols, are old, injured or unproven. The Brewers starting rotation has numerous pitchers who need to prove their worth. The Reds big addition was pitcher Josh Fogg, and the Astros are praying shortstop Miguel Tejada will not only return to MVP form, but stay out of drug trouble as well.
The Cubs should win their second straight NL Central title, but that’s about it.
NL West
The division that was once considered a joke is now the toughest in all of baseball. It was only three years ago that the San Diego Padres won the division with a record of 82-80. Last year, four of the five teams had records over .500.
In a division filed with pitchers’ parks, except for Colorado, the starting rotation will be the major factor in who brings home the NL West crown and who brings home the wild card.
All eyes will be on the Rockies after their magical run to the World Series in 2007, but the focus should be on the Arizona Diamondbacks and the San Diego Padres.
Both teams have pitchers in the 1-2 spots who would be an ace on any other team. The Diamondbacks have Cy Young winner Brandon Webb and his 3.01 ERA to go along with Dan Haren, who came over from Oakland, where he posted a 3.07..

The Padres counter the D-Backs with their own Cy Young winner, Jake Peavy. Last season, Peavy led the National League in wins, ERA and strikeouts, the pitchers triple crown. His sidekick is 6-foot-10 Chris Young. A strained oblique sidelined Young for a few weeks and he was never the same when he came back. He did finish the season with an ERA of 3.12 and should be back to normal at the beginning of the 2008 season.
Finally, Arizona and San Diego both have reclamation projects. The Diamondbacks are looking for Randy Johnson to get back into the form that got the franchise its first World Series win, while the Padres hope the Mark Prior of 2003 who won 18 games will walk into PETCO Park healthy and able to finish an entire season.
Two teams that will give the Padres and Diamondbacks fits are the Dodgers and Rockies. The Rockies return an amazing lineup that won 14 of their last 15 games. Young star pitchers in Ubaldo Jimenez and Franklin Morales should make the Rockies contenders. The Dodgers have a plethora of veterans that have the experience to make a run at the division crown under new manager Joe Torre. Much of the Blue Crew’s success will depend on the durability of their pitching staff and if Andruw Jones can be the player that had 51 home runs in 2005 instead of the one that had a .222 batting average in 2007.
I’m picking the Padres and second year manager Bud Black to put it together and take this division, but any combination of the Dodgers, Diamondbacks, Padres and Rockies is possible for the division title and the Wild Card.
In a league that has everything to do with pitching, the Cubs are the obvious losers in the four playoff teams. With them out, the bats will have to make some kind of impact for its team to make it to the World Series. In the end, when the Mets and the Padres face off for the NL Championship, the Mets lineup will just be too much even for the amazing Peavy.



















